Tuesday 24 March 2015

Latest UK General Election prediction from The Hustings

In this latest projection Labour stabilise their position as the largest party with 289 seats and 32% of the vote. The SNP reaches 41 seats, taking 27 from Labour and 8 from the Lib Dems. The Conservatives retain the largest share of the vote at 33.6% but fall slightly to 271 seats.
With the post-election situation still very unclear, the Parties must be refining their strategies for all kinds of scenarios. A prolonged period of uncertainty (3 days?) would lead to talk of a run on the Pound and some dramatic FTSE charts, which would be used by some as additional political capital.
Further below we show the max and min projections per party.

http://www.thehustings.co.uk/

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Latest Model Party Ranges (80% of eventualities with these margins) Lab – Hi 307 seats, 33%Lo 272, 30%
Con – 276, 35% – 253, 32%
SNP – 52, 3.3% – 26, 2.8%
LD – 29, 13% – 15, 9%
Ukip – 4, 16% – 1, 11%
PC – 4, 0.8% – 3, 0.7%
Green – 2, 5.1% – 1, 3.0%
Full list of party vote share predictions, by Seat here (ex NI)

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