Wednesday 11 March 2015

Implied Probabilities compiled by First Past The Post - UK General Election

The 650 as collated by http://www.firstpastthepost.net/


Labour 282

Conservative 273

SNP 36

LibDems 28

UKIP 7

Others 23

The table below shows candidates' win-probabilities in each of the 650 parliamentary constituencies.
The probabilities are converted from bookmakers' odds. We control for longshot bias by removing any candidate with less than 20% probability.

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