Saturday, 7 February 2015

#GE2015 Prediction by Prediction2015.com


HUNG - CON short by 51

England, Wales and Scotland (presuming widely assumed Scottish seat distribution):
Con: 275
Lab: 272
LD: 27
UKIP: 8
Green: 2
SNP: 43
Other: 5

England and Wales (the ones we calculate in depth):
Con: 273
Lab: 260
LD: 25
UKIP: 8
Green: 2
Other: 5



Constituency:Region:Con:Lab:LD:UKIP:Greens:Other:Incumbent:Winner:Result:
Aberavon    Mid/W    10.98    53.78    8.66    9.89    2.51    13.57    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Aberconwy    Mid/W    33.35    25.49    11.86    10.25    2.55    15.78    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Aldershot    SO    41.97    14.15    20.99    16.74    4.61    1.55    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Aldridge-Brownhills    Mid/W    55.51    20.4    10.08    7.95    4.77    1.58    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Altrincham and Sale West    NO    42.06    23.69    14.83    14.03    4.49    1.95    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Alyn and Deeside    Mid/W    29.53    41.07    10.67    10.56    2.7    4.84    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Amber Valley    Mid/W    36    38.78    6.72    10.22    2.6    5    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Arfon    Mid/W    14.02    31.86    6.23    10.23    3.22    33.86    Oth    Oth        Oth HOLD
Arundel and South Downs    SO    52.16    9.96    14.66    17.9    4.26    1.81    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Ashfield    Mid/W    19.16    35.16    25.85    10.2    2.54    6.42    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Ashford    SO    48.36    18.32    9.39    16.83    6.15    1.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Ashton-under-Lyne    NO    19.59    51.79    4.08    16.34    4.36    2.84    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Aylesbury    SO    46.4    14.34    14.92    18.84    4.5    1.76    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Banbury    SO    47.25    20.94    7.05    17.19    6.14    1.99    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Barking    Lon    11.21    56.47    1.35    15.89    4.27    11.42    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Barnsley Central    NO    11.9    50.69    6.62    16.72    4.32    8.77    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Barnsley East    NO    11.06    50.45    7.53    16.6    4.28    9.05    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Barrow and Furness    NO    29.83    48.9    1.73    13.52    5.39    1.41    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Basildon and Billericay    Mid/W    50.42    24.21    8.15    11.59    2.77    2.28    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Basingstoke    SO    45.1    22.24    11.14    16.14    4.55    1.3    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bassetlaw    Mid/W    30.29    51.02    3.49    11.68    2.56    1.19    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bath    SO    26.76    8.79    42.61    13.48    7.6    1.19    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Batley and Spen    NO    28.76    45.26    5.11    11.76    5.64    2.46    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Battersea    Lon    40.28    38.03    3.08    12.92    5.18    1.14    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Beaconsfield    SO    56.23    13.32    6.45    16.93    5.99    1.33    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Beckenham    Lon    51.95    17.19    9.09    15.93    4.89    1.1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bedford    Mid/W    35.66    36.99    12.14    10.26    3.78    1.05    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Bermondsey and Old Southwark    Lon    10.99    32.7    36.56    12.25    5.81    1.62    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Berwick-upon-Tweed    NO    31.19    14.86    33.15    14.99    4.14    1.61    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Bethnal Green and Bow    Lon    7.92    47.57    8.23    12.42    6.03    17.04    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Beverley and Holderness    NO    42.3    22.92    12.26    15.16    5.57    1.31    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bexhill and Battle    SO    49.32    13.72    15.19    12.81    4.21    3.5    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bexleyheath and Crayford    Lon    45.9    29.88    1.02    16.84    4.42    1.06    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Birkenhead    NO    12.81    63.08    7.75    11.59    4.34    1.05    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Edgbaston    Mid/W    35.03    42.14    7.57    9.16    4.42    1.16    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Erdington    Mid/W    29.67    43.45    8.41    10.49    2.77    4.62    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Hall Green    Mid/W    11.68    34.7    16.87    9.71    3.04    23.37    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Hodge Hill    Mid/W    7.99    54.24    19.81    9.91    2.86    4.64    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Ladywood    Mid/W    8.14    55.86    19.09    9.77    5.88    1.97    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Northfield    Mid/W    30.74    41.83    7.98    11.32    3.77    3.79    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Perry Barr    Mid/W    17.88    51.74    14.09    11.9    2.94    1.27    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Selly Oak    Mid/W    28.49    40.05    14.4    9.7    4.88    1.97    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Birmingham Yardley    Mid/W    15.96    33.84    32.1    11.01    2.76    3.71    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Bishop Auckland    NO    21.35    41.93    11.78    14.75    4.24    4.86    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Blackburn    NO    20.87    51.25    4.39    13.95    4.47    4.11    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Blackley and Broughton    NO    12.76    58.14    3.35    14.28    4.6    5.99    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Blackpool North and Cleveleys    NO    36.56    38.45    2.7    15.89    4.22    1.88    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Blackpool South    NO    30.61    43.49    3.68    15.68    4.29    1.71    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Blaenau Gwent    Mid/W    3.57    54.42    2.29    9.9    2.56    26.66    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Blaydon    NO    10.57    52.52    18.89    11.71    4.31    1.28    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Blyth Valley    NO    11.32    47.77    16.78    16.15    4.36    2.6    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton    SO    47.71    15.84    10.27    19.38    4.28    1.96    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bolsover    Mid/W    21.63    51.71    7.84    12.18    2.54    3.48    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bolton North East    NO    30.09    47.05    2.23    15.64    4.39    1.28    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bolton South East    NO    20.37    50.66    5.12    15.76    6.07    1.13    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bolton West    NO    32.08    39.82    6.47    15.34    5.5    1.36    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bootle    NO    3.17    68.65    4.32    17.8    4.37    1.58    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Boston and Skegness    Mid/W    23.37    21.73    7.18    41.5    2.45    3.08    Con    UKIP        UKIP GAIN FROM Con
Bosworth    Mid/W    40.21    17    25.97    9.92    2.69    3.53    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bournemouth East    SO    42.99    15.07    17.4    19    4.56    1.55    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bournemouth West    SO    40.01    16.58    18.06    19.24    4.79    1.79    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bracknell    SO    48.05    18.79    9.02    16.58    6.19    1.22    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bradford East    NO    21.53    35.95    23.16    11.81    4.54    1.94    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Bradford South    NO    24    44.49    7.54    15.42    4.45    3.08    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bradford West    NO    2.34    25.98    1.84    14.18    6.09    51.04    Oth    Oth        Oth HOLD
Braintree    Mid/W    49.55    20.79    11.17    12.83    4.24    1.29    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Brecon and Radnorshire    Mid/W    34.06    11.22    39.17    10.53    3.33    1.04    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Brent Central    Lon    4.82    43.94    32.07    12.94    5.15    1.47    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Brent North    Lon    25.22    49.92    5.18    13.66    5.02    1.12    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Brentford and Isleworth    Lon    30.88    36.57    12.02    14.09    5.26    1.44    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Brentwood and Ongar    Mid/W    54.88    10.7    16.11    11.6    4.05    2.14    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bridgend    Mid/W    27.7    37.67    15.12    10    2.71    6.16    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bridgwater and West Somerset    SO    40.81    18.8    15    17.64    5.79    1.88    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Brigg and Goole    NO    39.48    34.98    3.98    15.79    4.18    1.4    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Brighton Kemptown    SO    32.83    36.35    4.47    15.22    10.22    1.54    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Brighton Pavilion    SO    18.76    30.4    1.12    13.07    36.11    1.41    Grn    Grn        Grn HOLD
Bristol East    SO    24.41    39.64    11.14    16    6.44    1.3    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bristol North West    SO    33.14    27.64    17.99    14.55    5.63    1.34    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bristol South    SO    18.65    41.5    15.5    15.23    7.08    1.08    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bristol West    SO    13.76    29.57    12.38    12.35    31.05    1.29    LD    Grn        Grn GAIN FROM LD
Broadland    Mid/W    42.74    14.35    24.78    12.42    3.94    1.99    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bromley and Chislehurst    Lon    47.84    19.49    10.49    16.06    4.98    1.02    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bromsgrove    Mid/W    41.5    22.73    12.22    13.41    2.76    6.75    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Broxbourne    Mid/W    56.61    18.65    5.71    12    2.81    3.67    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Broxtowe    Mid/W    36.03    39.27    9.26    9.97    3.67    1.6    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Buckingham    SO    1.25    1.43    1.5    25.49    3.96    69.83    Oth    Oth        Oth HOLD
Burnley    NO    11.22    34.28    25.4    14.21    4.39    9.37    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Burton    Mid/W    41.97    33.24    8.11    10.97    2.7    2.36    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Bury North    NO    35.14    37.42    6.42    14.39    4.43    1.74    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Bury South    NO    28.57    42.93    7.58    13.58    5.52    1.19    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Bury St Edmunds    Mid/W    43.34    17.16    18.6    12.77    6.98    1.82    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Caerphilly    Mid/W    13.97    46.63    7    10.49    2.72    18.57    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Calder Valley    NO    34.4    29.11    14.71    13.79    6.13    1.35    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Camberwell and Peckham    Lon    6.74    62.15    10.55    12.66    6.7    1.37    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Camborne and Redruth    SO    32.88    18    23.99    17.85    5.64    1.74    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Cambridge    Mid/W    22.27    25.31    30.95    9.15    11.27    1.41    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Cannock Chase    Mid/W    37.38    34.45    9.31    11.62    2.67    3.97    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Canterbury    SO    39.56    17.69    18.65    15.55    7.39    1.98    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Cardiff Central    Mid/W    18.98    30.4    33.37    8.74    5.8    2.28    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Cardiff North    Mid/W    35.06    38.39    10.71    9.72    3.96    1.63    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Cardiff South and Penarth    Mid/W    25.36    40.54    14.63    10.29    4.22    4.37    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Cardiff West    Mid/W    26.85    42.83    9.87    10.4    4.74    4.65    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Carlisle    NO    33.85    39.41    4.85    14.03    5.87    1.73    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr    Mid/W    19.62    27.61    4.55    11.69    2.51    33.31    Oth    Oth        Oth HOLD
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire    Mid/W    38.7    33.84    4.43    11.04    2.6    8.73    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Carshalton and Wallington    Lon    30.44    11.61    36.34    15.75    4.36    1.86    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Castle Point    Mid/W    41.7    15.57    1.78    8.08    2.65    29.56    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Central Devon    SO    45.8    8.36    20.92    17.74    6.06    1.92    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich    Mid/W    47.15    16.76    17.38    12.25    5.27    1.5    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Ceredigion    Mid/W    8.75    6.68    42.75    10.39    4.93    25.92    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Charnwood    Mid/W    47.42    20.64    14.08    11.23    2.7    3.32    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Chatham and Aylesford    SO    41.74    34.47    1.34    15.56    5.38    1.28    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Cheadle    NO    34.48    10.81    36    13.66    4.47    1.49    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Chelmsford    Mid/W    43.19    11.95    29.24    10.25    3.87    1.35    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Chelsea and Fulham    Lon    53.94    21.55    4.6    13.25    5.73    1.26    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Cheltenham    SO    36.12    6.98    36.76    14.25    4.77    1.59    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Chesham and Amersham    SO    54.77    7.14    15.23    16.05    5.95    1.54    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Chesterfield    Mid/W    12.48    40.18    30.25    11.18    3.95    1.65    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Chichester    SO    50.06    11.96    14.1    19.04    4.37    0.99    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Chingford and Woodford Green    Lon    47.17    25.68    5.17    15.47    5.1    1.24    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Chippenham    SO    36.28    8.65    32.45    15.75    5.3    1.73    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Chipping Barnet    Lon    42.05    27.78    8.55    15.33    5.63    1.31    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Chorley    NO    31.77    44.43    3.33    15.42    4.39    1.24    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Christchurch    SO    50.89    11    12.11    20.96    4.12    1.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Cities of London and Westminster    Lon    45.17    25.02    8.77    13.74    6.18    1.89    Con    Con        Con HOLD
City of Chester    NO    34.6    36.61    8.34    13.66    5.76    1.48    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
City of Durham    NO    7.93    46.17    26.76    12.9    4.97    1.3    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Clacton    Mid/W    19.97    10.63    1.85    64.09    4.18    1.53    UKIP    UKIP        UKIP HOLD
Cleethorpes    NO    35.33    33.68    7.42    18.66    4.17    1.69    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Clwyd South    Mid/W    27.38    39.85    9.61    10.58    2.57    9.36    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Clwyd West    Mid/W    39.2    25.64    7.7    10.46    2.54    13.76    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Colchester    Mid/W    29.68    13.39    40.29    10.34    4.62    1.59    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Colne Valley    NO    31.94    28.58    17.7    13.6    6.07    1.57    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Congleton    NO    39.71    18.65    21.25    15.47    4.3    1.14    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Copeland    NO    31.04    47.32    1.8    14.01    5.07    1.14    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Corby    Mid/W    22.77    48.67    1.03    22.16    3.72    2.14    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Coventry North East    Mid/W    18.92    51.22    8.82    10.96    2.85    6.67    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Coventry North West    Mid/W    26.49    44.4    10.23    10.55    4.03    3.71    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Coventry South    Mid/W    30.14    42.67    9.98    11.03    4.83    1.53    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Crawley    SO    40.83    34.83    1.2    15.39    5.87    1.26    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Crewe and Nantwich    NO    39.88    35.75    4.25    14.29    4.43    1.61    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Croydon Central    Lon    34.32    37.38    1.48    15.02    4.9    6.03    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Croydon North    Lon    17.78    58.74    2.17    14.51    5.68    1.36    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Croydon South    Lon    43.59    22.44    11.06    16.86    5.28    1.81    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Cynon Valley    Mid/W    6.81    54.39    6.06    11.65    2.63    17.89    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Dagenham and Rainham    Lon    27.6    42.62    1.92    16.59    4.13    7.79    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Darlington    NO    25.74    41.2    12.67    14.4    4.36    1.72    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Dartford    SO    45.6    30.08    1.36    16.26    4.55    1.19    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Daventry    Mid/W    53.35    16.53    11.82    12.23    4.22    1.86    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Delyn    Mid/W    31.98    42.16    7.86    9.97    2.61    4.77    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Denton and Reddish    NO    18.72    51.96    7.09    16.99    4.33    1.56    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Derby North    Mid/W    29.02    34.47    20.32    9.45    3.1    3.02    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Derby South    Mid/W    25.15    44.71    12.65    12.43    2.81    1.99    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Derbyshire Dales    Mid/W    48.54    19.86    14.91    11.67    4.25    1.07    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Devizes    SO    50.36    12.02    13.64    16.68    6.39    1.05    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Dewsbury    NO    30.3    34.94    6.23    11.73    6.1    9.63    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Don Valley    NO    24.86    40.78    6.47    16.39    4.32    6.1    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Doncaster Central    NO    19.62    42.81    10.45    15.31    4.41    6.39    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Doncaster North    NO    15.75    50.71    4.17    16.43    4.26    7.64    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Dover    SO    39.92    35.52    2.49    16.24    4.3    1.14    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Dudley North    Mid/W    34.26    40.1    2.78    16.72    2.63    2.9    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Dudley South    Mid/W    38.96    33.47    7.88    16.19    2.62    1.44    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Dulwich and West Norwood    Lon    15.6    48.55    15.31    13.81    6.39    1.27    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Dwyfor Meirionnydd    Mid/W    19.49    14.75    4.7    11.16    2.4    46.8    Oth    Oth        Oth HOLD
Ealing Central and Acton    Lon    31.39    32.92    15.83    13.93    5.44    1.02    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Ealing North    Lon    24.52    53.27    1.41    14.38    4.67    1.95    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Ealing Southall    Lon    23.19    54.14    3.02    13.02    5.17    1.86    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Easington    NO    8.2    62.83    5.28    16.76    4.27    1.77    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
East Devon    SO    42.89    12.14    17.86    20.52    5.7    1.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
East Ham    Lon    8.43    71.21    1.88    12.78    5.05    1.52    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
East Hampshire    SO    52.04    9.57    17.24    15.16    4.43    1.76    Con    Con        Con HOLD
East Surrey    SO    51.77    10.71    12.65    19    4.49    1.66    Con    Con        Con HOLD
East Worthing and Shoreham    SO    43.48    18.31    12.2    18.6    6.61    1.14    Con    Con        Con HOLD
East Yorkshire    NO    43.01    22.19    10.8    16.09    5.66    1.52    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Eastbourne    SO    37.01    6.56    34.53    15.11    4.36    1.76    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Eastleigh    SO    20.72    11.39    32.86    29.54    4.51    1.35    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Eddisbury    NO    44.74    22.86    11.73    15.64    4.29    1.73    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Edmonton    Lon    22.55    55.07    1.49    15.57    4.82    1.67    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Ellesmere Port and Neston    NO    29.02    46.1    4.42    15.27    4.3    1.16    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Elmet and Rothwell    NO    37.42    36.35    5.82    14.31    4.37    1.49    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Eltham    Lon    31.94    44.91    1.42    15.4    4.65    1.3    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Enfield North    Lon    36.29    41.68    1.16    15.1    4.69    1    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Enfield Southgate    Lon    43.17    35.03    2.15    13.69    5.13    1.06    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Epping Forest    Mid/W    51.8    15.25    14.02    11.62    4.28    2.49    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Epsom and Ewell    SO    50.67    13.48    13.53    16.47    4.53    1.99    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Erewash    Mid/W    36.88    35.55    9.88    9.81    3.79    3.46    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Erith and Thamesmead    Lon    25.6    48.52    1.72    15.79    4.4    3.62    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Esher and Walton    SO    54.54    12.48    11.67    15.22    4.62    1.46    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Exeter    SO    28.72    40.39    6.71    15.65    6.55    1.82    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Fareham    SO    50.03    15.78    10.53    16.24    5.93    1.98    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Faversham and Mid Kent    SO    51.32    18.29    6.36    16.09    6.23    1.91    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Feltham and Heston    Lon    28.5    47.74    1.97    15.24    4.72    1.03    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Filton and Bradley Stoke    SO    36.83    28.66    11.98    15.34    5.64    1.04    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Finchley and Golders Green    Lon    38.64    35.93    5.37    13.92    5.35    1.9    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Folkestone and Hythe    SO    45.39    12.56    17.11    17.28    5.52    1.81    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Forest of Dean    SO    41.42    25.52    8.54    17.75    6.07    1.4    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Fylde    NO    45.42    20.92    11.48    15.69    5.78    1.65    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Gainsborough    Mid/W    46.73    16.37    20.32    12.25    2.58    1.36    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Garston and Halewood    NO    10.21    60.17    9.31    15.11    4.32    1.44    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Gateshead    NO    9.39    57.62    10.67    14.58    5.47    1.48    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Gedling    Mid/W    34.45    42.24    7.69    10.86    2.73    1.68    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Gillingham and Rainham    SO    42.17    29.89    4.66    15.71    5.38    1.76    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Gloucester    SO    34.92    37.03    5.76    16.02    5.48    1.01    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Gosport    SO    48.93    19.03    7.92    15.88    5.65    1.56    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Gower    Mid/W    29.49    39.65    11.72    9.4    2.67    6.42    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Grantham and Stamford    Mid/W    48.01    18.99    14.71    10.99    2.65    4.02    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Gravesham    SO    43.5    30.62    1.19    17.32    5.81    1.76    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Great Grimsby    NO    25.5    23.75    11.72    30.23    4.36    3.3    Lab    UKIP        UKIP GAIN FROM Lab
Great Yarmouth    Mid/W    18.26    34.29    6.7    34.95    3.56    1.87    Con    UKIP        UKIP GAIN FROM Con
Greenwich and Woolwich    Lon    18.8    53.71    6.45    12.7    6.56    1.02    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Guildford    SO    48.1    6.95    25.71    13.51    4.91    1.34    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hackney North and Stoke Newington    Lon    8.17    57.87    12.05    12.42    8.55    1.22    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hackney South and Shoreditch    Lon    7.23    59.1    10.55    14    7.49    1.65    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Halesowen and Rowley Regis    Mid/W    37.36    37.14    7.04    14.3    2.69    1.86    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Halifax    NO    29.22    40.31    8.51    13.23    4.42    3.28    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Haltemprice and Howden    NO    46.43    17.63    16.17    11.44    5.85    1.45    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Halton    NO    14.6    60.19    3.02    14.75    5.97    1.19    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hammersmith    Lon    29.74    46.64    4.14    13.39    5.52    1.09    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hampstead and Kilburn    Lon    26.06    35.39    19.43    12.95    5.28    1.62    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Harborough    Mid/W    46.7    13.61    23.7    10.41    2.85    2.13    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Harlow    Mid/W    42.3    35.02    6.07    11.53    2.71    1.8    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Harrogate and Knaresborough    NO    39.76    8.09    33.04    13.18    4.46    1.84    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Harrow East    Lon    37.39    39.71    2.56    14.62    5.24    1.51    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Harrow West    Lon    29.62    45.47    4.4    14.62    5.09    1.93    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hartlepool    NO    22.88    45.24    6.33    19.03    4.33    1.46    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Harwich and North Essex    Mid/W    44.2    20.64    16.08    13.03    4.61    1.19    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hastings and Rye    SO    36.99    39.23    2.33    15.54    4.37    1.12    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Havant    SO    46.41    19.4    10.09    18.55    4.27    1.34    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hayes and Harlington    Lon    22.76    57.3    1.38    13.04    4.38    1.58    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hazel Grove    NO    27.49    13.89    37.68    16.36    4.32    1.02    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Hemel Hempstead    Mid/W    47.62    21.95    15.31    10.24    2.89    1.41    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hemsworth    NO    19.2    50.05    2.2    11.99    4.27    11.28    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hendon    Lon    34.63    43.92    1.97    14.59    4.81    1.42    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Henley    SO    51.51    12.51    12.03    15.54    6.94    1.66    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hereford and South Herefordshire    Mid/W    42.93    8.01    33.43    11.45    2.63    1.51    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hertford and Stortford    Mid/W    51.51    14.82    18.54    10.62    2.94    1.05    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hertsmere    Mid/W    53.2    19.7    9.84    11.1    4.21    1.75    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hexham    NO    39.2    21    19.75    11.6    4.32    3.04    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Heywood and Middleton    NO    22.23    43.13    12.14    14.43    4.4    2.63    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
High Peak    Mid/W    37.07    32.07    14.06    11.16    4.48    1.65    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hitchin and Harpenden    Mid/W    50.82    14.29    19.11    10.26    4.4    1.51    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Holborn and St Pancras    Lon    14.24    48.54    15.87    13.23    6.9    1.8    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hornchurch and Upminster    Lon    47.02    23.96    2.26    18.66    4.49    2.67    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hornsey and Wood Green    Lon    10.33    36.33    34.34    12.26    6.11    1.48    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Horsham    SO    48.04    9.25    18.95    17.22    5.51    1.18    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Houghton and Sunderland South    NO    16.26    53.72    3.17    14.72    4.32    6.79    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Hove    SO    31.26    34.38    9.23    14.2    9.81    1.94    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Huddersfield    NO    22.42    41.24    13.92    11.44    8.69    1.87    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Huntingdon    Mid/W    46.58    11.98    21.48    13.73    4.05    1.59    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Hyndburn    NO    29    44.09    1.06    15.43    5.47    3.93    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Ilford North    Lon    40.23    37.46    1.03    14.82    4.82    1.27    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Ilford South    Lon    20.92    52.05    5.14    14.92    6.34    1.05    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Ipswich    Mid/W    36.32    36.21    10.44    10.83    4.6    1.01    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Isle of Wight    SO    43.5    13.44    18.74    16.42    5.55    1.41    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Islington North    Lon    7.78    55.9    14.76    13.74    6.93    1.92    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Islington South and Finsbury    Lon    13.01    44.57    21.93    13.68    5.78    1.86    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Islwyn    Mid/W    10.82    51.02    2.68    10.91    2.62    21.34    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Jarrow    NO    15.44    57.38    7.89    11.87    4.3    2.18    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Keighley    NO    36.97    38.1    4.18    14.75    4.39    1.03    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Kenilworth and Southam    Mid/W    50.2    14.86    20.11    9.95    4.05    1.1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Kensington    Lon    43.17    28.26    7.91    14.2    6.04    1.13    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Kettering    Mid/W    46.74    31.14    8.18    7.92    2.72    2.67    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Kingston and Surbiton    Lon    29.99    12.17    37.54    14.87    4.92    1.18    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Kingston upon Hull East    NO    10.91    50.69    12.01    20.01    4.33    1.55    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Kingston upon Hull North    NO    7.5    42.11    26.49    15.55    6.29    1.49    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle    NO    14.8    45.8    13.61    17.36    4.37    3.07    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Kingswood    SO    36.36    37.56    3.51    15.71    5.26    1.11    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Knowsley    NO    3.23    73.67    2.57    14.49    4.29    1.51    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Lancaster and Fleetwood    NO    30.49    37.05    8.04    13.52    9.36    1.76    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Leeds Central    NO    14.96    52.99    9.63    11.01    5.41    5.18    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leeds East    NO    17.95    53.9    6.8    11.82    4.4    4.18    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leeds North East    NO    27.55    44.68    9.02    12.83    4.65    1.24    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leeds North West    NO    21.32    22.81    36.21    11.77    6.71    1.51    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Leeds West    NO    14.38    45.74    13.51    14.39    9.53    1.45    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leicester East    Mid/W    21.19    55.79    6.31    9.74    4.23    2.19    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leicester South    Mid/W    18.33    47.28    18.87    8.84    5.09    1.25    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leicester West    Mid/W    24.04    40.17    14.73    10.36    4.84    5.31    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leigh    NO    15.7    51.37    7.57    15.28    4.43    4.67    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Lewes    SO    32.09    6.5    38.67    15.81    5.77    1.42    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Lewisham Deptford    Lon    7.23    56.55    11.53    12.46    10.61    1.9    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Lewisham East    Lon    17.29    45.65    16.39    14.42    5.18    1.52    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Lewisham West and Penge    Lon    18.87    43.29    16.22    15.04    5.73    1.7    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Leyton and Wanstead    Lon    15.8    46.38    15.69    15.34    5.2    1.98    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Lichfield    Mid/W    50.38    20.32    12.46    13.42    2.66    1.24    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Lincoln    Mid/W    34.87    36.73    12.28    9.95    3.18    2.4    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Liverpool Riverside    NO    5.42    60.58    11.37    12.14    9.08    1.87    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Liverpool Walton    NO    1.38    75.15    3.33    14.42    4.39    1.05    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Liverpool Wavertree    NO    1.85    54.18    23.13    13.43    6.34    1.57    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Liverpool West Derby    NO    3.64    68.27    1.74    14.89    4.4    6.3    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Llanelli    Mid/W    11.28    44.14    2.67    11.05    2.63    27.58    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Loughborough    Mid/W    39.17    35.85    10.39    9.2    3.37    1.53    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Louth and Horncastle    Mid/W    47.58    18.03    14.81    12.69    2.38    3.79    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Ludlow    Mid/W    49.72    7.27    25.25    12.51    3.4    1.8    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Luton North    Mid/W    28.66    50.83    3.29    11.55    3.92    1.37    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Luton South    Mid/W    26.3    36.61    14.85    10.03    4.01    7.65    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Macclesfield    NO    42.56    22.26    12.73    14.22    6.15    1.39    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Maidenhead    SO    54.8    8.86    15.02    14.31    5.45    1.7    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Maidstone and The Weald    SO    43.15    11.5    22.65    15.55    5.78    1.58    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Makerfield    NO    13.5    50.63    5.58    11.83    4.35    13.13    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Maldon    Mid/W    57.27    13.44    11.78    12.89    2.71    1.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Manchester Central    NO    6.26    56.03    15.44    12.19    7.88    1.74    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Manchester Gorton    NO    5.31    52.64    21.37    10.94    8.02    1.64    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Manchester Withington    NO    5.43    41.73    33.27    11.91    7.12    1.35    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Mansfield    Mid/W    23.35    40.28    7.68    14.5    2.63    10.87    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Meon Valley    SO    51.78    8.05    19.37    15.23    4.43    1.15    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Meriden    Mid/W    49.51    21.5    10.2    10.44    4.12    3.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney    Mid/W    4.08    45.55    23.41    11.04    2.62    12.66    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Mid Bedfordshire    Mid/W    48.94    15.53    17.26    12.62    4.21    1.69    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Mid Derbyshire    Mid/W    46.18    25.49    13.06    10.38    2.74    1.5    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Mid Dorset and North Poole    SO    39.31    7.43    31.52    16.88    4.31    1.13    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Mid Norfolk    Mid/W    46.36    18.07    14.66    13.48    5.45    1.94    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Mid Sussex    SO    45.68    8.31    24.16    14.56    5.71    1.97    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Mid Worcestershire    Mid/W    50.28    15.44    15.66    13.78    3.84    1.59    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Middlesbrough    NO    13.43    49.37    9.05    15.58    4.59    7    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland    NO    30.78    41.77    5.27    16.04    4.26    1.05    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Milton Keynes North    SO    39.13    29.05    8.79    15.56    6    1.17    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Milton Keynes South    SO    37.31    34.53    4.36    16.03    5.98    1.42    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Mitcham and Morden    Lon    18.81    59.16    1.66    14.94    4.49    1.18    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Mole Valley    SO    52.19    8.53    15.46    17.12    6.03    1.22    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Monmouth    Mid/W    45.61    26.6    11.96    10.23    3.91    1.45    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Montgomeryshire    Mid/W    38.92    7.88    30.56    11.62    2.47    7.83    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Morecambe and Lunesdale    NO    35.01    40.55    2.66    15.79    5.56    1.17    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Morley and Outwood    NO    30.65    40.43    6.28    14.66    4.45    2.51    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Neath    Mid/W    9.97    48.01    7.31    10.34    2.59    21.15    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
New Forest East    SO    47.31    11.34    16.93    17.34    6.26    1.47    Con    Con        Con HOLD
New Forest West    SO    53.17    11.07    10.1    18.38    6.32    1.66    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Newark    Mid/W    49.54    22.73    12.31    11.53    2.64    1.94    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Newbury    SO    51.16    6.11    22.11    14.63    5.29    1.1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Newcastle upon Tyne Central    NO    14.15    49.38    13.28    13.54    6.67    2.06    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Newcastle upon Tyne East    NO    10.87    47.57    22.12    10.47    7.3    1.42    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Newcastle upon Tyne North    NO    12.69    43.15    22.59    14.45    5.15    1.55    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Newcastle-under-Lyme    Mid/W    30.53    38.32    11.69    15.77    2.87    1.46    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Newport East    Mid/W    20.01    38.56    24.63    10.04    2.77    3.36    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Newport West    Mid/W    29.63    42.76    8.98    10.72    3.95    3.36    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Newton Abbot    SO    37.81    8.48    28.36    18.9    5.69    1.35    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Normanton Pontefract and Castleford    NO    19.34    51.54    5.69    12.01    4.29    6.14    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
North Cornwall    SO    36.55    5.78    34.48    17.73    4.1    1.8    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
North Devon    SO    31.55    6.87    34.23    19.96    5.57    1.71    LD    LD        LD HOLD
North Dorset    SO    45.73    6.95    23.54    17.61    5.25    1.51    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North Durham    NO    15.46    52.76    10.35    15.03    4.3    1.83    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
North East Bedfordshire    Mid/W    52.82    16.92    14.18    11.75    2.76    1.46    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North East Cambridgeshire    Mid/W    49.29    18.8    12.44    13.63    2.54    2.66    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North East Derbyshire    Mid/W    29.13    38.28    15.58    13.45    2.54    1.71    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
North East Hampshire    SO    54.91    11.43    12.25    16.04    4.55    1.48    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North East Hertfordshire    Mid/W    49.92    17.1    15.78    11.69    4.47    1.29    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North East Somerset    SO    36.07    32.93    8.99    15.76    5.59    1.31    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North Herefordshire    Mid/W    48.25    7.65    23.37    13.7    5.68    1.59    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North Norfolk    Mid/W    28.48    6.14    47.47    13.54    3.29    1.61    LD    LD        LD HOLD
North Shropshire    Mid/W    48.85    18.97    13.35    12.69    4.23    1.55    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North Somerset    SO    43.88    12.54    22.3    16.01    4.37    1.64    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North Swindon    SO    40.25    32.73    3.85    16.19    5.47    1.18    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North Thanet    SO    47.2    22.94    6.06    19.06    4.22    1.1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North Tyneside    NO    12.97    53.96    12.38    14.48    4.38    1.01    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
North Warwickshire    Mid/W    37.63    41.46    3.91    10.95    2.63    2.79    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
North West Cambridgeshire    Mid/W    47.58    17.93    14.29    16.01    2.84    1.1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North West Durham    NO    14.83    45.43    14.48    14.8    4.3    5.11    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
North West Hampshire    SO    52.63    14.7    10.06    17.4    4.39    1.44    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North West Leicestershire    Mid/W    42.17    31.28    9.04    10.19    2.65    4.04    Con    Con        Con HOLD
North West Norfolk    Mid/W    17.45    14.23    15.87    46.54    4.08    1.16    Con    UKIP        UKIP GAIN FROM Con
North Wiltshire    SO    46.38    8.38    22.79    16.07    5.63    1.24    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Northampton North    Mid/W    31.34    30.7    20.28    10.97    4.01    2.08    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Northampton South    Mid/W    38.08    26.84    11.7    12.73    3.83    6.2    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Norwich North    Mid/W    37.44    32.38    10.63    12.35    5.61    1.43    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Norwich South    Mid/W    19.56    29.53    21.36    9.67    18.18    1.99    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Nottingham East    Mid/W    20.1    46.26    16.12    10.62    6.25    1.02    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Nottingham North    Mid/W    21.62    50.43    9.31    12.12    2.67    3.29    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Nottingham South    Mid/W    29.95    38.56    14.75    9.38    5.47    1.85    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Nuneaton    Mid/W    38.87    38.3    7.61    8.03    2.71    3.87    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Ogmore    Mid/W    12.38    55.67    7.54    10.5    2.56    10.79    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Old Bexley and Sidcup    Lon    49.8    22.41    3.86    16.48    4.35    2.24    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Oldham East and Saddleworth    NO    21.37    34.76    21.18    15.71    4.46    1.45    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Oldham West and Royton    NO    18.44    48.83    8.36    15.08    4.45    3.87    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Orpington    Lon    53.66    11.64    12.96    15.65    4.46    1.81    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Oxford East    SO    13.99    44.02    19.61    13.83    7.76    1.42    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Oxford West and Abingdon    SO    37.08    12.29    28.41    14.5    6.76    1.64    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Pendle    NO    34.28    33.57    9.62    15.21    4.34    1.91    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Penistone and Stocksbridge    NO    26.39    40.32    10.7    15.91    4.29    1.53    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Penrith and The Border    NO    47.67    14.52    17.88    14.61    4.11    1.29    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Peterborough    Mid/W    37.14    30.7    11.79    14.72    3.98    1.44    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Plymouth Moor View    SO    28.97    39.47    3.54    20.6    5.27    1.72    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport    SO    29.37    33.53    10.9    18.33    7.21    1.1    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Pontypridd    Mid/W    13.19    40.34    23.69    11.2    3.9    7.1    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Poole    SO    43.03    14.48    18.39    17.78    4.36    1.88    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Poplar and Limehouse    Lon    20.78    43.51    1.87    13.52    5.15    15.2    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Portsmouth North    SO    39.6    29.78    6.64    16.64    5.48    1.83    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Portsmouth South    SO    28.95    15.93    32.22    13.83    7.04    1.93    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Preseli Pembrokeshire    Mid/W    40.42    32.31    6.93    10.52    2.52    6.64    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Preston    NO    15.65    49.65    13.19    15.68    4.89    1.48    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Pudsey    NO    32.87    36.87    10.26    13.64    4.5    1.96    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Putney    Lon    45.12    30.37    5.24    13.22    5.39    1.2    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Rayleigh and Wickford    Mid/W    55.82    15.34    7.62    11.95    2.77    5.93    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Reading East    SO    37.17    27.26    13.65    13.8    7.12    1.73    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Reading West    SO    38.11    32.33    6.76    15.44    5.68    1.97    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Redcar    NO    8.15    34.7    34.61    16.36    4.22    1.78    LD    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM LD
Redditch    Mid/W    40.87    31.6    9.92    11.39    3.68    1.97    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Reigate    SO    49.27    13.17    13.05    16.27    6.81    1.22    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Rhondda    Mid/W    2.98    57.38    2.79    9.58    2.59    24.11    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Ribble Valley    NO    43.62    23.36    9.84    17.92    4.31    1.78    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Richmond (Yorks)    NO    55.47    16.76    8.35    11.23    7.21    1.92    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Richmond Park    Lon    42.66    7.8    30.86    13.19    4.78    1.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Rochdale    NO    12.67    39.59    23.97    16.28    4.47    1.98    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Rochester and Strood    SO    26.05    16.8    1.81    49.74    8.33    1.59    UKIP    UKIP        UKIP HOLD
Rochford and Southend East    Mid/W    44.43    21.45    11.78    13.74    4.52    3.47    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Romford    Lon    50.97    22.61    1.48    17.51    4.54    2.37    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Romsey and Southampton North    SO    44.55    8.09    27.64    14.53    4.76    1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Rossendale and Darwen    NO    36.62    34.36    7.49    14.96    4.39    1.79    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Rother Valley    NO    23.58    43.87    6.7    17.57    4.34    2.85    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Rotherham    NO    11.23    48.07    5.25    18.04    4.33    12.03    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Rugby    Mid/W    41.16    32.46    12.37    8.71    3.7    1.26    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Ruislip Northwood and Pinner    Lon    51.02    22.05    5.09    15.29    5.06    1.94    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Runnymede and Weybridge    SO    50.77    15.14    8.24    18.34    6.14    1.79    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Rushcliffe    Mid/W    47.38    21.23    14.11    11.32    5.22    1.27    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Rutland and Melton    Mid/W    48.97    15.16    18.41    12.44    2.72    1.69    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Saffron Walden    Mid/W    52.37    10.43    19.82    11.7    4.22    1.49    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Salford and Eccles    NO    15.26    43.4    15.65    13.95    4.87    5.9    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Salisbury    SO    44.72    9.31    23.65    15.32    5.4    1.59    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Scarborough and Whitby    NO    37.58    28.14    11.9    14.87    5.7    1.5    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Scunthorpe    NO    27.03    41.71    7.57    16.52    5.33    1.55    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Sedgefield    NO    18.44    48.22    9.44    15.62    4.3    2.97    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Sefton Central    NO    27.87    42.61    9.31    15.41    4.33    1.27    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Selby and Ainsty    NO    44.43    27.68    7.12    14.76    4.37    1.24    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Sevenoaks    SO    53.67    15.08    8.25    16.01    4.51    1.78    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough    NO    6.2    58.63    9.45    15.15    4.86    4.89    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Sheffield Central    NO    4.48    43.36    29.18    12.42    9.42    1.44    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Sheffield Hallam    NO    17.76    17.96    42.35    14.15    6.23    1.62    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Sheffield Heeley    NO    12.4    45.6    18.17    14.62    7.27    1.01    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Sheffield South East    NO    12.08    52.15    12.73    16.46    4.42    1.19    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Sherwood    Mid/W    36.69    40.15    7.28    11.09    2.64    1.49    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Shipley    NO    41.89    29.7    9.3    11.2    7.4    1.37    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Shrewsbury and Atcham    Mid/W    40.77    21.39    21.4    10.95    3.8    1.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Sittingbourne and Sheppey    SO    23.36    26.76    3.03    40.61    4.37    1.44    Con    UKIP        UKIP GAIN FROM Con
Skipton and Ripon    NO    45.48    11.65    21.96    15.07    4.27    1.35    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Sleaford and North Hykeham    Mid/W    49.51    17.72    10.74    11.6    2.63    7.16    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Slough    SO    28.74    47.41    1.68    15.49    5.64    1.61    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Solihull    Mid/W    40.34    9.68    35.8    9.79    2.8    1.02    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Somerton and Frome    SO    39.24    5.96    33.91    15.75    4.18    1.54    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
South Basildon and East Thurrock    Mid/W    41.29    32.29    5.7    13.94    2.72    3.48    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Cambridgeshire    Mid/W    45.1    11.09    26.81    10.68    4.72    1.08    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Derbyshire    Mid/W    42.99    32.63    8.35    10.25    2.71    2.5    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Dorset    SO    39.8    31.57    5.68    16.52    5.43    1.6    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South East Cambridgeshire    Mid/W    44.82    8.42    30.04    11.28    4.12    1.32    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South East Cornwall    SO    40.14    8.64    25.22    18.83    5.84    1.67    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Holland and The Deepings    Mid/W    56.67    14.82    7.91    14.75    3.9    1.51    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Leicestershire    Mid/W    47.23    21.94    13.48    11.39    2.79    2.57    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Norfolk    Mid/W    46.33    13.86    21.92    12.08    4.4    1.29    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Northamptonshire    Mid/W    51.72    18.08    13.43    11.51    3.91    1.52    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Ribble    NO    39.5    36.18    3.48    15.02    4.41    1.79    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Shields    NO    16.45    55.44    3.43    11.95    6.49    5.29    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
South Staffordshire    Mid/W    51.16    21.18    9.18    13.4    2.72    1.76    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Suffolk    Mid/W    43.67    14.74    23.08    14.86    2.55    1.73    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Swindon    SO    36.56    36.01    4.18    16.6    5.78    1.28    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South Thanet    SO    22.66    32.58    1.83    38.07    4.23    1.24    Con    UKIP        UKIP GAIN FROM Con
South West Bedfordshire    Mid/W    50.13    20.61    12.4    11.98    2.79    1.72    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South West Devon    SO    50.29    13.88    10.74    18.5    5.62    1.71    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South West Hertfordshire    Mid/W    52.12    12.39    20.51    10.08    2.94    1.4    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South West Norfolk    Mid/W    45.97    19.58    14.08    14.4    4.3    1.02    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South West Surrey    SO    53.71    7.63    17.03    14.57    5.68    1.72    Con    Con        Con HOLD
South West Wiltshire    SO    46.48    13.14    17.13    17.97    4.28    1.41    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Southampton Itchen    SO    31.01    38.37    7.14    16.47    6.13    1.48    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Southampton Test    SO    27.74    40.11    8.58    15.82    6.93    1.46    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Southend West    Mid/W    43.79    14.34    22.06    11.65    4.3    3.25    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Southport    NO    29.36    10.8    38.26    16.45    4.24    1.88    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Spelthorne    SO    42.56    18.33    12.69    20.7    4.48    1.25    Con    Con        Con HOLD
St Albans    Mid/W    37.06    18.32    28.64    10.98    4.39    1.1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
St Austell and Newquay    SO    36.89    9.17    30.15    16.76    4.21    1.5    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
St Helens North    NO    16.34    52.84    9.41    16.3    4.29    1.26    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
St Helens South and Whiston    NO    12.31    55.59    11.55    14.49    4.33    1.26    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
St Ives    SO    34.2    9.76    29.35    18.32    6.92    1.68    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Stafford    Mid/W    40.89    33.89    8.66    11.03    3.99    1.43    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Staffordshire Moorlands    Mid/W    40.99    30.15    9.01    16.08    2.54    1.96    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Stalybridge and Hyde    NO    27.93    42.34    6.34    15.03    6.14    1.4    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stevenage    Mid/W    38.82    34.76    8.96    12.29    2.85    1.73    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Stockport    NO    19.53    44.65    14.23    13.6    6.22    1.82    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stockton North    NO    20.87    45.99    5.41    15.81    4.38    6.48    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stockton South    NO    34.07    40.84    4.42    14.35    4.58    1.05    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Stoke-on-Trent Central    Mid/W    17.91    40.55    13.88    12.31    2.95    11.76    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stoke-on-Trent North    Mid/W    20.71    46.01    10.03    14.52    2.56    5.54    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stoke-on-Trent South    Mid/W    25.43    40.31    8.2    11.68    2.59    11.16    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stone    Mid/W    46.54    21.08    14.79    12.99    3.59    1.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Stourbridge    Mid/W    40.24    32.91    8.82    12.52    3.49    1.4    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Stratford-on-Avon    Mid/W    49.58    10.19    21.85    11.49    3.7    2.54    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Streatham    Lon    11.82    45.25    23.82    12.31    5.69    1.8    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stretford and Urmston    NO    22.52    49.7    6.13    14.68    6.44    1.17    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Stroud    SO    35.55    39.79    2.13    14.55    7    1.59    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Suffolk Coastal    Mid/W    42.5    16.44    22.09    13.58    4.49    1.49    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Sunderland Central    NO    24.95    48.48    6.13    14.18    4.55    1.17    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Surrey Heath    SO    52    11.87    12.48    18.24    4.53    1.53    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Sutton and Cheam    Lon    36.08    9.84    33.91    14.72    4.05    1.74    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Sutton Coldfield    Mid/W    51.99    21.25    10.59    10.63    3.97    1.02    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Swansea East    Mid/W    11.54    53.38    10.62    10.73    3.68    9.5    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Swansea West    Mid/W    18.16    36.2    25.46    9.29    4.59    5.72    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Tamworth    Mid/W    41.86    33.3    8.44    12.72    2.71    1.4    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Tatton    NO    50.44    19.16    12.26    11.28    4.48    1.7    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Taunton Deane    SO    37    6.75    35.43    16    4.33    1.04    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Telford    Mid/W    33.43    40.23    7.74    13.96    2.76    1.31    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Tewkesbury    SO    42.08    13.2    22.08    16.4    5.38    1.32    Con    Con        Con HOLD
The Cotswolds    SO    47.8    12.16    16.34    16.49    5.96    1.77    Con    Con        Con HOLD
The Wrekin    Mid/W    44.87    28.1    9.76    12.24    2.82    1.94    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Thirsk and Malton    NO    47.96    15.27    12.82    18.41    4.17    1.02    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Thornbury and Yate    SO    32.14    8.61    38.23    15.79    4.35    1.44    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Thurrock    Mid/W    33.88    38.22    2.88    15.36    2.87    6.2    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Tiverton and Honiton    SO    44.6    10.3    19.84    18.6    5.57    1.89    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Tonbridge and Malling    SO    53.38    14.33    9.31    15.91    5.95    1.16    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Tooting    Lon    31.64    46.12    3.09    13.33    5.22    1.27    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Torbay    SO    33.92    8.24    33.64    17.98    5.16    1.25    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Torfaen    Mid/W    16.95    46.48    8.96    10.46    3.83    12.7    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Torridge and West Devon    SO    40.95    6.84    26.99    18.32    5.97    1.1    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Totnes    SO    41.61    8.89    22.47    18.75    6.64    1.56    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Tottenham    Lon    8.66    63.51    5.79    14.1    6.17    1.41    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Truro and Falmouth    SO    37.23    11.29    27.48    16.28    6.27    1.49    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Tunbridge Wells    SO    51.38    12.61    12.05    16.21    6.33    1.59    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Twickenham    Lon    27.72    10.47    42.25    13.75    4.88    1.6    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Tynemouth    NO    28.89    47.05    4.34    13.04    5.42    1.27    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Uxbridge and South Ruislip    Lon    42.87    26.64    8.16    15.41    5.05    1.55    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Vale of Clwyd    Mid/W    32.63    43.65    4.99    9.59    2.56    5.93    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Vale of Glamorgan    Mid/W    39.43    34.12    7.67    10.93    3.64    3.56    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Vauxhall    Lon    15.16    52.82    13.25    12.24    5.69    1.11    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wakefield    NO    30.9    42.19    5.67    11.81    6.38    2.02    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wallasey    NO    25.07    52.62    2.95    14.39    4.32    1.39    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Walsall North    Mid/W    31.38    38.54    5.29    13.19    2.59    8.36    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Walsall South    Mid/W    31.95    40.79    6.54    16.4    2.79    1.48    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Walthamstow    Lon    7.57    54.56    16.76    14.8    5.61    1.04    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wansbeck    NO    12.1    48.49    16.95    14.35    5.92    1.55    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wantage    SO    46.41    15.53    14.49    16.44    6.35    1.46    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Warley    Mid/W    20.87    53.26    7.6    14.72    2.74    1.28    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Warrington North    NO    24.64    47.5    10.08    11.46    4.48    1.76    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Warrington South    NO    29.44    34.18    16.65    14.1    5.29    1.19    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Warwick and Leamington    Mid/W    38.93    36.1    10.51    9.13    4.56    1.16    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Washington and Sunderland West    NO    16.44    55.66    6.38    15.31    4.32    1.16    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Watford    Mid/W    31.79    27.87    24.82    9.71    4.57    1.01    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Waveney    Mid/W    36.48    39.06    5.69    13.3    4.73    1.1    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Wealden    SO    51.2    11.11    12.01    18.22    6.84    1.2    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Weaver Vale    NO    33.12    38.33    7.96    13.86    5.18    1.29    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Wellingborough    Mid/W    45.8    26.6    9.52    11.18    3.59    2.67    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wells    SO    37.84    9.12    30.68    15.73    5.33    1.44    LD    Con        Con GAIN FROM LD
Welwyn Hatfield    Mid/W    52.65    22.15    8.49    10.61    4.83    1.94    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wentworth and Dearne    NO    12.25    54.11    5.4    20.19    4.29    2.79    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
West Bromwich East    Mid/W    25.9    48.22    5.42    10.84    2.65    6.36    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
West Bromwich West    Mid/W    26.22    46.77    4.21    12.52    2.65    7.02    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
West Dorset    SO    42.44    8.08    27.29    16.34    5.34    1.07    Con    Con        Con HOLD
West Ham    Lon    8.38    66.72    1.16    14.49    5.34    3.7    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
West Lancashire    NO    30.01    46.13    2.85    15.05    5.43    1.2    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
West Suffolk    Mid/W    48.24    15.76    15.86    14.31    2.79    2.44    Con    Con        Con HOLD
West Worcestershire    Mid/W    46.27    7.22    29.97    11.7    3.77    1.71    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Westminster North    Lon    31.9    46.67    2.22    13.17    5.07    1.41    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Westmorland and Lonsdale    NO    29.86    3.67    48.58    13.12    4.09    1.53    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Weston-Super-Mare    SO    40.09    12.69    26.07    15.35    4.29    1.23    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wigan    NO    19.42    51.37    4.73    17.52    4.33    1.95    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wimbledon    Lon    41.86    24.92    13.39    13.93    4.99    1.88    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Winchester    SO    43.46    7.14    29.54    13.88    4.73    1.8    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Windsor    SO    56.15    11.76    9.16    15.27    5.95    1.8    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wirral South    NO    33.03    41.56    5.96    14.51    4.32    1.56    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wirral West    NO    36.75    37.59    6.33    13.61    4.3    1.76    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Witham    Mid/W    48.27    19.08    12.15    14.19    5.67    1.09    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Witney    SO    53.74    14.69    6.15    15.76    8.5    1.45    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Woking    SO    45.12    9.84    24.04    15.72    4.57    1.13    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wokingham    SO    49.92    12.16    15.06    15.13    5.73    1.04    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wolverhampton North East    Mid/W    31.39    43.02    5.68    11.54    2.69    5.06    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wolverhampton South East    Mid/W    24.73    48.2    7.32    15.91    2.57    1.59    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wolverhampton South West    Mid/W    37.03    39.64    8.24    11.36    2.87    1.17    Con    Lab        Lab GAIN FROM Con
Worcester    Mid/W    36.61    34.62    11.68    10.46    4.49    1.81    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Workington    NO    28.71    47.84    2.86    14.18    4.15    1.74    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Worsley and Eccles South    NO    26.96    45.07    5.79    16.48    4.42    1.07    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Worthing West    SO    46.69    13.26    14.7    18.36    6.26    1.13    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wrexham    Mid/W    22.5    38.39    18.23    10.33    2.74    7.16    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Wycombe    SO    43.21    19.13    15.28    16.42    4.67    1.84    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wyre and Preston North    NO    45.9    22.59    10.89    15.98    4.36    1.02    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wyre Forest    Mid/W    34.42    15.23    4.35    11.08    2.58    31.63    Con    Con        Con HOLD
Wythenshawe and Sale East    NO    20.07    46.6    11.63    14.91    4.5    1.92    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
Yeovil    SO    28.24    6.94    42.35    16.75    4.28    1.5    LD    LD        LD HOLD
Ynys Mon    Mid/W    19.32    34.17    1.72    11.65    2.5    30.51    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
York Central    NO    20.42    41.81    14.23    13.22    8.63    1.96    Lab    Lab        Lab HOLD
York Outer    NO    37.17    18.64    25.31    13.33    4.53    1.4    Con    Con        Con HOLD

1 comment:

  1. Can you explain the source / reasoning? Thanks!

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