Friday 14 November 2014

NOVEMBER 13th COUNCIL BY ELECTION RESULTS

Cambridge, Queen Edith's -  Liberal Democrat gain from Labour

Party  2014 B votes  2014 B share     since 2014     since 2013 CC     since 2012     since 2011     since 2010   
Liberal Democrat           933        36.5%       -6.1%         -8.3%      +1.2%       -4.7%     -12.5% 
Labour         790        30.9%       +1.1%         -4.2%       -8.8%    +10.8%     +18.4%
Conservative         614        24.0%       +7.7%      +10.4%      +5.2%       -1.9%        -4.1%
Green         222          8.7%       -2.7%        +2.2%      +2.4%       -4.3%       +1.0%
UKIP





        -2.8%
Total votes        2,559
        80%           96%        94%        80%         59%

Swing Liberal Democrat to Labour 3.6% since May 2014, ~2% since 2013 County Council elections, ~8% since 2011 and ~15% since 2010
- but Labour to Liberal Democrat 5% since 2012 when retiring councillor was elected

Dartford, Brent - Conservative hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative            597      45.4%          -7.4%           -10.4%          +2.1%             +1.4%
Labour         402      30.6%         -5.1%             -2.8%          -3.3%             -2.5%
UKIP         316      24.0%  from nowhere     from nowhere       +17.5%          +17.3%
English Democrat   

       -11.5%           -10.8%        -16.3%           -16.2%
Total votes         1,315
          60%              65%           63%              65%

Swing Conservative to Labour ~1% (top) or ~4% (average) since 2011 but Labour to Conservative ~2% since 2007

Dartford, Littlebrook - Labour hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Labour        358       47.7%         -7.1%             -5.9%            +1.6%            +0.0%
UKIP        220       29.3%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Conservative        172       22.9%         -1.1%                    -1.2%         +4.9%             +5.3%
English Democrat   

       -21.2%           -22.3%        -35.8%           -34.7%
Total votes        750
          70%               74%           81%              88%

Swing if meaningful Labour to Conservative ~3% since 2011 and ~2% since 2007

Derbyshire, Alport & Derwent -

Party  2014 votes     2014 share     since 2013   
Row 2 column 1Row 2 column 2Row 2 column 3Row 2 column 4
Row 3 column 1Row 3 column 2Row 3 column 3Row 3 column 4
Row 4 column 1Row 4 column 2Row 4 column 3Row 4 column 4
Liberal Democrat   

        -8.0%
Total votesRow 6 column 2
Row 6 column 4

Swing

Mid Sussex, Bolney - Conservative hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share     since 2011     since 2007     since 2003   
Conservative           261       42.9%      -24.3%     -23.3%     -31.6%
UKIP         187       30.7%     +17.4%     +17.4%from nowhere
Liberal Democrat           161       26.4%       +6.9%       +5.9%     +12.6%
Labour



       -7.3%
OMRLP



       -4.4%
Total votes            609
         55%        70%        75%

Swing Conservative to UKIP ~20% since both 2011 and 2007

Wigan, Douglas - Labour hold

Party  2014 B votes     2014 B share     since 2014     since 2012     since 2011     since 2010   
Labour          874         59.4%       -0.7%     -18.8%     -13.0%       +0.3%
UKIP          452         30.7%       -0.9%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
Conservative               80           5.4%       -3.0%       -2.1%       -7.0%       -8.8%
Green            37           2.5%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
Community Action              29           2.0%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere       -6.6%
Independent   


     -14.3%     -15.2%       -8.2%
BNP




       -9.9%
Total votes          1,472
        59%          65%        57%        32%

Swing UKIP to Labour negligble since May 2014 otherwise not meaningful

Wokingham, Bulmershe & Whitegates - Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat

Party  2014 B votes     2014 B share     since 2014     since 2012     since 2011     since 2010   
Conservative            726        35.4%       +8.4%    +10.3%       -1.1%       +0.1%
Labour          498        24.3%     -10.0%       -4.3%       +3.4%       +5.1%
Liberal Democrat            448        21.8%       +4.1%     -15.3%     -11.4%       -16.2%
UKIP          275        13.4%       -1.6%       +8.2%      +7.8%       +8.7%
Green          105          5.1%       -1.0%       +1.1%      +1.3%       +2.3%
Total votes          2,052
        73%         78%        65%         45%

Swing Labour to Conservative ~9% since May 2014 and ~7½% since 2012 but Conservative to Labour ~2¼% since 2011 and 2½% since 2010
- whilst Liberal Democrat to Conservative ~2% since May 2014, ~13% since 2012 when disqualified councillor was elected, 5% since 2011 and 8% since 2010


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