UK-Elect Scottish Parliament Forecast, October 1st 2014.
SNP Short of Overall Majority By 2
This is the latest UK-Elect forecast for the 2016 Scottish Pariament Election,
created on October 1st 2014. Further
forecasts will be made at frequent intervals before the next Scottish Parliament Election.
The percentages used for this forecast are constituency Vote: SNP 42% Lab
32%, Con 14%, Lib Dem 5%, Regional member vote: SNP 37%, Lab 29%, Con 13% Lib Dem 4%. Other parties votes were not
specifically set. (If you prefer to forecast using alternative forecasting
methods, your own percentages, the
current opinion polls, using tactical voting, or even using different electoral systems, browse the
UK-Elect on-line shop )
Also, if you would like to forecast the General
Election, Welsh Assembly, London Assembly or your own local election,
as well as the General Election, then click here to purchase
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Notes: The forecast base was
the 2011
Scottish Parliament Election. A Uniform National Swing method was
used (UK-Elect
supports several alternatives). The forecast was (of course) made
using the Additional Mamber System used in the Scottish Parliament
elections.
Tactical voting was set to 0% (i.e. disabled). Note: The colour scheme selected for the maps shown on this page uses
Yellow for SNP, Orange for the Liberal Democrats, Red for Labour and Blue for the Conservatives. UK-Elect supports several alternate colour schemes
and also allows party colours to be configured individually if desired.
Suggestions and Corrections:
UK election forecasts are sometimes very controversial. To notify us of any
suggested change to this one, or to let us know of any part of it that is just dead wrong,
please email us
on
support@ukelect.co.uk.
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