Sunday 26 October 2014

SEVENOAKS VOTE SHARE 2014

UKIP 36.94% Conservatives 34.79% share from Euro 2014
Conservatives 56.8% UKIP 3.6% Share from GE2010

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From electoral Calculus

Implied and predicted ward-by-ward votes for Sevenoaks

This table shows the (estimated) general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Sevenoaks, as well as the predicted election result ward-by-ward.
SevenoaksEst. 2010 General Election ResultsPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2010
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Other
Votes
Total
Votes
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Other
Votes
Total
Votes
SevenoaksAsh4,6362,4424262431793,2902,159593564833,291
SevenoaksBrasted, Chevening and Sundridge4,7462,17506915043,3701,9232781581,0113,370
SevenoaksCrockenhill and Well Hill1,4980001,0641,0640001,0641,064
SevenoaksDunton Green and Riverhead3,5731,5990844942,5371,4142961936342,537
SevenoaksEynsford1,403502046430996444147106299996
SevenoaksFarningham, Horton Kirby and South Darenth3,7681,8105142021492,6751,600643463852,674
SevenoaksFawkham and West Kingsdown4,7912,3855732551883,4012,108741584943,401
SevenoaksHalstead, Knockholt and Badgers Mount2,6281,2040590711,8651,0642101354551,864
SevenoaksHextable3,1681,4964571711262,2501,323565393232,250
SevenoaksKemsing3,1751,5210643902,2541,3452381475242,254
SevenoaksOtford and Shoreham3,3441,3813685151122,3761,2215651184722,376
SevenoaksSeal and Weald3,0341,2320850732,1551,0892831955882,155
SevenoaksSevenoaks Eastern2,98853601,554322,1224744463568462,122
SevenoaksSevenoaks Kippington3,4241,78905361062,4311,5822201235072,432
SevenoaksSevenoaks Northern3,2261,03201,198612,2919123692757352,291
SevenoaksSevenoaks Town and St John's4,6921,85109275533,3311,6363292131,1533,331
SevenoaksSwanley Christchurch and Swanley Village4,3501,5101,0192343263,0891,3351,145545563,090
SevenoaksSwanley St Mary's3,1574451,4531981462,2423931,525452782,241
SevenoaksSwanley White Oak4,6771,4271,4202732013,3211,2621,553634443,322
SevenoaksWesterham and Crockham Hill3,3111,7383111741282,3511,536430403452,351
Total69,58928,0756,54110,5624,23349,40924,82010,5762,42011,59649,412
Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official.

Below is the result from 2010 General Election
General Election 2010: Sevenoaks[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%

Conservative Michael Fallon 28,076 56.8 +5.0

Liberal Democrat Alan Bullion 10,561 21.4 −0.5

Labour Gareth Siddorn 6,541 13.2 −7.8

UKIP Christopher Heath 1,782 3.6 +0.6

BNP Paul Golding 1,384 2.8 N/A

English Democrats Louise Uncles 806 1.6 −0.1

Independent Mark Ellis 258 0.5 N/A
Majority 17,515 35.4 +5.4
Turnout 49,408 71.1 +12.4

Conservative hold Swing +3.1

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