Tuesday 30 September 2014

CLEETHORPES VOTE SHARE 2014 (Will this be the next TORY defector seat?)

Who is the next Conservative defector from this list? <<< link to list which has two Tory MPs who have already defected and a list of more who may in the future

  Martin Vickers Conservative MP would he be the next to defect?

Totals for local elections taken in Cleethorpes constituency, NO election happened in North Lincolnshire so no numbers for Barton & Ferry

UKIP 6,528 - 36.1%
Conservatives 5,773 - 31.9%
Labour 4,452 - 24.6%
Lib Dems 349 - 1.9%
Others 990 - 5.5%
votes cast 18,092
Ward which are in the Cleethorpes constituency are highlighted in BLUE.




ConLab LDUKIPGreenBNPTUSCInd (1)Ind (2)
North East Lincolnshire Croft Baker3521,03161885

104424

East Marsh
36990742246
22


Freshney3946318576373
32


Haverstoe1,40354713393986




Heneage40877910891897
43


Humberston & New Waltham1,062533
1,521





Immingham787960
952112
49


Park614577867796165
42


Scartho9605491791,233





Sidney Sussex36958479891

12689

South2006609769052

238

Waltham88938976664





West Marsh
434
325

32247135

Wolds911408
676





Yarborough387717175957

42












Totals, 2014
8,7369,1682,76712,632631
4921,133
%
24.5725.787.7835.521.77
1.383.19
Totals, 2010
21,64818,92117,9056,105
2,423
300
%
32.1728.1126.609.07
3.60
0.45
Changes
-7.60-2.33-18.8226.451.77-3.601.382.74



 MP: Martin Vickers  (CON)
County/Area: (Humberside)
Electorate: 70,214
Turnout: 64.04%


2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,93942.12%35.31%
LAB14,64132.56%40.49%
LIB8,19218.22%2.63%
UKIP3,1947.10%19.75%
OTH00.00%1.82%
CON Majority4,2989.56%Pred Maj 5.18%
1 http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.pl?seat=Cleethorpes

Implied and predicted ward-by-ward votes for Cleethorpes

This table shows the (estimated) general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Cleethorpes, as well as the predicted election result ward-by-ward.
CleethorpesEst. 2010 General Election ResultsPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2010
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Other
Votes
Total
Votes
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Other
Votes
Total
Votes
North East LincolnshireCroft Baker8,9381,7482,2731,3773265,7241,4652,7901991,2705,724
North East LincolnshireHaverstoe7,7402,3551,1691,2272064,9571,9741,6761771,1304,957
North East LincolnshireHumberston and New Waltham8,3732,1141,2171,6903425,3631,7721,8502441,4975,363
North East LincolnshireImmingham8,5371,7482,1627508075,4671,4652,4891081,4045,466
North East LincolnshireSidney Sussex8,9931,4282,4081,5873365,7591,1972,9712291,3625,759
North East LincolnshireWaltham5,4321,7098317581803,4781,4331,1591097773,478
North East LincolnshireWolds5,5221,7328607322133,5371,4521,1811067983,537
North LincolnshireBarton8,2242,6522,012495535,2662,2232,17978575,266
North LincolnshireFerry8,4553,4531,709212325,4152,8951,91336045,415
Total70,21418,93914,6418,1913,19544,96515,87618,2081,1829,69944,965
Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official.

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