Tuesday, 5 November 2013

ELECTORAL CALCULUS - Current Prediction: Labour majority 84

Current Prediction: Labour majority 84

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON36.97%30731.16%232
LAB29.66%25838.11%367
LIB23.56%57 9.83%23
UKIP 3.17%012.44%0
NAT 2.26%9 2.52%9
MIN 4.37%19 5.93%19
Prediction based on opinion polls from 11 Oct 13 to 01 Nov 13, sampling 11,071 people.

Probability of possible outcomes

Conservative majority
4%
Labour majority
81%
Con/Lib coalition
3%
Lab/Lib coalition
8%
Lib choice of coalition
0%
No overall control
4%
The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

2 comments:

  1. I have concerns re. the ability of UKIP, if not to win a parliamentary seat outright, to cause chaos in the voting patterns to significantly distort the result in a number of constituencies and to alter projections at the next general elections.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I believe UKIP will fair much better than the anticipated predictions above...............God Bless UKIP

    ReplyDelete

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