Wednesday 2 October 2013

General Election Prediction

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

Current Prediction: Labour majority 78

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON36.97%30731.02%232
LAB29.66%25837.46%364
LIB23.56%5710.04%23
UKIP 3.17%013.17%0
NAT 2.26%9 2.86%12
MIN 4.37%19 5.45%19
Prediction based on opinion polls from 07 Sep 13 to 27 Sep 13, sampling 9,842 people.

Probability of possible outcomes

Conservative majority
4%
Labour majority
79%
Con/Lib coalition
3%
Lab/Lib coalition
9%
Lib choice of coalition
0%
No overall control
5%
The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.

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