Is this a rogue poll because it differs so much from the yougov one or is the yougov the rogue one?
YOU GOV POLL
YOU GOV = CON 31%, LAB 39%, LD 10%, UKIP 14%;
SERVATION = LAB 35%, CON 24%, UKIP 22%, LD 11%
OF THOSE DEFINITE TO VOTE WITH SURVATION POLLING
LABOUR 28.9% CONSERVATIVE 19.1% UKIP 19% LIBDEMS 8.4%
Survation poll is good as it also breaks down the responder by county as well as age, intention and previous vote. You can see across nearly every region you have UKIP, Con and Labour but you can see big gaps for the libdems which must be worrying for them.
The survation poll also had the highest percentage of former Labour voters now turning UKIP which had hit over 10%
You gov have the same old same old. and I wonder just when will they catch up, the May elections showed UKIP had 24% and close behind, two polling services now show UKIP being very strong it can only be a matter of time before a YouGov poll reflects this.