Electoral Calculus have crunched the numbers from opinion polls and it now shows a Labour majority of 88 this is down again at the beginning of the year it was 112 in March it was 96 and now 88 as Labour slip back. The one down fall of the calculus method is that it has little room for a 4th party so we don't know the true effect of UKIP either.
Labour are down 4 seats on the last poll Conservatives are up 8 Liberals Democrats are down 5 Nationalists are up one.
So still showing disaster for Lib Dems and comfort for Labour but it is slipping back all the time. Will be interesting if UKIP can ever be factored into the results.
***UPDATE*** http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html If you click predict UKIP it will now include UKIP results
Current Prediction: Labour majority 88
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Prediction based on opinion polls from 12 Apr 13 to 03 May 13, sampling 8,930 people.