Wednesday, 27 August 2014

TOP POLITICAL BLOGS ACCORDING TO EBUZZING

http://labs.ebuzzing.co.uk/top-blogs/politics

The above link has the full list, the tweet below has the top 7

WHAT DO THE VOTERS THINK OF THE POLITICAL LEADERS?

Here is a breakdown from todays YOUGOV polling
Link to data tables

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/ylfpbtmctf/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-260814.pdf

Tuesday, 26 August 2014

POPULUS POLLING 22nd - 25th August 2014

http://www.populus.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/OmOnline_Vote_26-08-2014_BPC.pdf

link to data tables

A SELECTION OF TARGET SEAT BETTING (UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015)

Here is a list of target seat betting, it seams Labour are doing well all the way down to number 50, and whilst the Conservatives are not taking any from Labour they are doing well against the Lib Dems.

You can click TOP 50 TARGET SEAT FOR LABOUR & CONSERVATIVES to view the list


Monday, 25 August 2014

TOP 50 TARGET SEAT FOR LABOUR & CONSERVATIVES


Lab Targets: (all)2010 winnerMaj/lead over LabSwing Req. %Maj/lead over Lab %
Con Targets: (swing req. <10%)2010 winnerMaj/lead over ConSwing Req. %Maj/lead over Con %











Warwickshire NorthCon: 1540.060.111Hampstead & KilburnLab: 1420.040.08
ThurrockCon: 2920.100.202Bolton WestLab: 2920.100.19
HendonCon: 31060.110.233SolihullLD: 11750.160.32
Cardiff NorthCon: 41940.200.414Southampton ItchenLab: 31920.220.43
SherwoodCon: 52140.220.445Dorset Mid & Poole NorthLD: 22690.290.57
Norwich SouthLD: 13100.330.656Wirral SouthLab: 45310.671.33
Stockton SouthCon: 63320.330.667Derby NorthLab: 56130.681.36
BroxtoweCon: 73890.370.748WellsLD: 38000.721.43
Lancaster & FleetwoodCon: 83330.390.789Dudley NorthLab: 66490.841.68
Bradford EastLD: 23650.450.9010Great GrimsbyLab: 77141.082.17
Amber ValleyCon: 95360.581.1711Morley & OutwoodLab: 81,1011.132.25
WaveneyCon: 107690.751.5012TelfordLab: 99781.182.37
Wolverhampton South WestCon: 116910.861.7213Walsall NorthLab: 109901.372.74
Morecambe & LunesdaleCon: 128661.001.9914St Austell & NewquayLD: 41,3121.392.78
CarlisleCon: 138531.012.0215Somerton & FromeLD: 51,8171.503.00
StroudCon: 141,2991.122.2416Birmingham EdgbastonLab: 111,2741.533.06
Weaver ValeCon: 159911.132.2517Sutton & CheamLD: 61,6081.663.31
LincolnCon: 161,0581.162.3118HalifaxLab: 121,4721.693.38
Brighton PavilionGrn: 11,2521.212.4219Newcastle-under-LymeLab: 131,5521.803.59
Plymouth Sutton & DevonportCon: 171,1491.312.6220Middlesbrough South & Cleveland EastLab: 141,6771.813.63
DewsburyCon: 181,5261.412.8321WakefieldLab: 151,6131.813.63
Warrington SouthCon: 191,5531.422.8322St IvesLD: 71,7191.873.74
Brent CentralLD: 31,3451.482.9723Plymouth Moor ViewLab: 161,5881.913.82
BedfordCon: 201,3531.503.0024GedlingLab: 171,8591.933.86
Brighton KemptownCon: 211,3281.553.1125ElthamLab: 181,6631.983.96
PudseyCon: 221,6591.693.3826Walsall SouthLab: 191,7552.154.29
Corby*Con: 231,9511.803.6027Nottingham SouthLab: 201,7722.174.34
Brentford & IsleworthCon: 241,9581.823.6428ChippenhamLD: 82,4702.364.72
HoveCon: 251,8681.873.7529TootingLab: 212,5242.494.98
Enfield NorthCon: 261,6921.903.8130Derbyshire North EastLab: 222,4452.605.20
Hastings & RyeCon: 271,9932.004.0031ExeterLab: 232,7212.605.21
Manchester WithingtonLD: 41,8502.054.1032ChorleyLab: 242,5932.605.21
BurnleyLD: 51,8182.174.3433Blackpool SouthLab: 251,8522.635.26
IpswichCon: 282,0792.214.4334Westminster NorthLab: 262,1262.685.37
Dundee EastSNP: 11,8212.244.4935Southampton TestLab: 272,4132.735.46
Dunbartonshire EastLD: 62,1842.284.5536Luton SouthLab: 282,3292.765.52
Halesowen & Rowley RegisCon: 292,0232.304.6037BridgendLab: 292,2632.955.90
NuneatonCon: 302,0692.324.6338Dagenham & RainhamLab: 302,6302.975.95
GloucesterCon: 312,4202.384.7739DelynLab: 312,2723.076.14
Northampton NorthCon: 321,9362.404.8140CheadleLD: 93,2723.126.23
Bury NorthCon: 332,2432.494.9941Cornwall NorthLD: 102,9813.186.36
KingswoodCon: 342,4452.555.1042GowerLab: 322,6833.226.44
ErewashCon: 352,5012.625.2543Penistone & StocksbridgeLab: 333,0493.286.55
Blackpool North & CleveleysCon: 362,1502.655.3044EastbourneLD: 113,4353.306.59
City of ChesterCon: 372,5832.765.5245Birmingham NorthfieldLab: 342,7823.336.65
ArfonPC: 11,4552.795.5846Stalybridge & HydeLab: 352,7443.366.71
Croydon CentralCon: 382,8792.905.8047Harrow WestLab: 363,1433.416.82
WorcesterCon: 392,9823.046.0948Bury SouthLab: 373,2923.416.82
KeighleyCon: 402,9403.086.1649Taunton DeaneLD: 123,9933.436.87
Wirral WestCon: 412,4363.096.1950ScunthorpeLab: 382,5493.446.88

Sunday, 24 August 2014

SCOTTISH POLL OF POLLS FOR AUGUST

Found this on my travels hope rlemkin doesn't mind me sharing

Autumn is almost here so I thought I'd do a quick average of the summer polls for Holyrood. Very little change from June to August, so I just took the average from constituency (Survation, YouGov and Ipsos Mori) and regional polls (Survation, YouGov).

YouGov show Labour equal or ahead, Survation show SNP miles ahead and Ipsos show them ahead by up to about 5%, which accounts for the big lead in the constituency for the SNP.

It's all conjecture, but mildly amusing at least

SNP 50 MSPs (-19)
Labour 47 MSPs (+10)
Conservative 16 MSPs (+1)
Green 10 MSPs (+8)
Lib Dems 6 MSPs (+1)

YOUGOV POLLING 21st - 22nd August 2014

A breakdown of some of the data

Link to data tables

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/8wj4hu4alm/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-140822-2.pdf

COMRES POLLING AUG 20th - 22nd 2014

Latest breakdown of Comres polling


 link for data tables

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/SM_IoS_Political_Poll_24th_August_2014_12371.pdf